H ere's where Tammy lies right now . Hurricane Tammy Baton Rouge ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is just east of Guadeloupe as it moves toward the northwest. Tammy has enhanced modestly given that Friday night.
The storm strengthened into a typhoon on Friday morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an uncommon place for a typhoon to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical scientist at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy should turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be an issue for the continental United States.
The route northward away from the Caribbean has ended up being less certain. Tammy was initially expected to be captured by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, but computer system assistance is now recommending that the storm might drift around in between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for a long time.
Typhoon Katrina (August 2005) ended up being a large and very effective cyclone that triggered enormous destruction and considerable death. It is the costliest hurricane to ever hit the United States, exceeding the record previously held by Typhoon Andrew from 1992.
Typhoon Katrina - Wikipedia
The biggest loss of life in Hurricane Katrina was due to flooding caused by engineering defects in the flood protection system, especially the levee around the city of New Orleans. Eventually, 80% of the city, along with big areas in surrounding parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Typhoon cautions have actually now been provided for several islands in the northeast Caribbean. That means hurricane conditions are anticipated in some of these areas. You can see the current warnings and watches in the map below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high browse from Tammy need to spread throughout the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those effects will last through a minimum of early Sunday in some locations.
Rainfall totals could be 4 to 8 inches (in your area as much as 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands might see 2 to 4 inches of rain (locally as much as 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands might see 1 to 2 inches of rains (in your area as much as 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall could cause flooding and mudslides in a few of these locations.
Norma, now a Category 1 storm as of 2 p.m. ET, is anticipated to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- consisting of Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Typhoon Center said.
Flying Force Reserve Hurricane Hunters observed Norma's center situated offshore just west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and typhoon and conditions were occurring over some locations of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the cyclone center.
Norma is anticipated to be slightly weaker by the time it hits land, but it still will be a hurricane that might bring lethal conditions to a tourist-friendly region that's home to a couple of hundred thousand people, the cyclone center said.
In the Atlantic Ocean, meanwhile, Cyclone Tammy-- a Classification 1 storm since Saturday afternoon-- has actually set off typhoon cautions for parts of the Leeward Islands, a chain of numerous island countries and areas in between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds gained ground to 85 mph.
Neither storm is a risk to the US.
In the Atlantic, Tammy preserved optimal continual winds of 85 miles per hour and was focused about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Typhoon Center stated at 2 p.m. ET.
The Classification 1 hurricane was located about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the cyclone center stated.
Tammy is anticipated to move near or over portions of the Leeward Islands-- consisting of Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and then move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended outside as much as 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended outward as much as 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are rare for late October. Tammy is only the third cyclone to form this far southeast in the Atlantic given that 1900, according to hurricane expert Michael Lowry.
It's likewise the latest-forming hurricane in this part of the Atlantic considering that 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research researcher in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Typhoon experts previously cautioned cyclones might form in uncommon locations later on in the season this year because of the incredibly warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm surge of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be one of the storm's most severe hazards and might lead to flash flooding and mudslides. Rainfall totals for the Leeward Islands are anticipated to be 4 to 8 inches, but might reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain sets up. Rain should be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and US Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is more than likely.
Conditions will begin to enhance from south to north throughout the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the region.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, only two names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the basic Atlantic storm name list before the hurricane center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy